How Would Obama Lose in 2012?
What can a Republican use as ammo to defeat Obama?
President Obama is entering a pivotal year in which his actions and his numbers on the unemployment front will either make or break his presidency.
Here are three things that can affect the Obama campaign in a major way if they don't improve, and Republicans use the right methods to attack him on.
- Unemployment – As one of the biggest issues of any presidential campaign, unemployment will be played a lot this campaign. The unemployment rate has been looming around 9% for a while now. The current rate is 8.6%, with is actually a decrease from November. Last month, 43 states reported some type of decrease in unemployment but that won’t be enough to counter 2.5 years of American joblessness if it doesn’t go down any farther. Republican candidates are already blaming unemployment on Obama; the rate was at 7.8% when Obama took office.
- Economy – Hand –in-Hand, the unemployment rate plays a significant role on the economy and vice-versa. President Obama had the housing crisis, government bailouts, and an ever-present recession that carries a really large impact on voters. Most voters don’t even think his stimulus plan helped, according to a recent Ipsos/Reuters poll. “On balance, a majority of Americans (62%) believe that the stimulus bills that Congress has approved in recent years have ‘just created debt’ (as opposed to helped the economy).” However, numbers are divided by party, of course. All of these are trigger words for voters who were saturated with news of how much of a catastrophe the economy became after Obama took office. Republicans could attack Obama’s stimulus plan and his philosophy on ‘economic fairness’. If played right, this could be a great tool for republicans trying to sway uncertain voters. Saying something like, Obama’s welfare approach to the economy is penalizing success.
- ObamaCare – There’s so much separation when it comes to these two things. Republicans want the bill repealed and democrats don’t. 47% of Americans favor repealing the 2010 Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, according to a Nov. 16th Gallup poll. With the Supreme Court now reviewing the healthcare law, this could be the perfect ammo for a republican candidate. If they can make it seem like Obama has been signing bills and spending money frivolously and straining America with the healthcare law, they could have a good appeal. “56% of Americans say they prefer a system for providing healthcare based mostly on private health insurance, rather than one that is government run.”